**Expected DA from January 2018 – 2%**

As mentioned during the previous article, the expected DA would have been 3% if AICPN had shown gradual increase. But it is not the case now – as we see a constant AICPN for 3 months in a row, the forecast needs adjustment. In summary, the expectation should be around 2% with both worst and best case scenarios as explained below.

**You may try more scenarios from our expected DA calculator**

**Scenario 1**:

Let us assume a gradual increase of 2 points in AICPN for rest of this year and the calculated DA turns out to show a 2% increase from January 2018.

**Scenario 2**:

Let us now assume at the worst, a gradual decrease of 2 points in AICPN for rest of this year, the calculated DA would still shows a 2% increase from January 2018.

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